Decision making by anecdote

  • Can an anecdote be sad?

    An Anecdote Defined
    An anecdote can simply be an incident, a happening, or a “slice of life.” It may be sad, funny, tragic, odd, or merely amusing..

  • How do you influence decisions?

    To effectively influence decision-makers, you must present your ideas, solutions, or recommendations in a way that appeals to their logic, emotions, and values.
    To do this, it is important to establish your credibility by demonstrating your expertise, experience, and achievements in your field..

  • What is the difference between a story and an anecdote?

    An anecdote is a simple retelling of something that happened.
    A story paints a narrative journey with a beginning, middle and end.
    Stories contain elements like conflict, rising tension and resolution, all woven together by a villain and hero that an audience can understand, relate to and ultimately root for..

  • What is the influence of anecdotes?

    In persuasive writing, these short, personal stories can also encourage audiences to see an issue from a unique or different perspective.
    They can provide a personal insight into an issue.
    It is through these insights that anecdotes engage readers emotionally and encourage a sense of empathy with a writer's contention..

  • What is the problem with anecdotal evidence?

    Anecdotal evidence is considered the least certain type of scientific information.
    Researchers may use anecdotal evidence for suggesting new hypotheses, but never as validating evidence.
    If an anecdote illustrates a desired conclusion rather than a logical conclusion, it is considered a faulty or hasty generalization..

  • What is the purpose of an anecdote?

    Anecdotes are commonly used in literature to flesh out characters, showing sides of their personality or events from their past that aren't part of the main narrative.
    This approach is also used in real life, often with celebrities and historical figures, to highlight certain virtues or attributes..

  • Furthermore, there are at least two circumstances under which people should reject a given recommendation based on scientific claims: when the evidence in support of a claim is of low quality (i.e., it is based on fake science claims, including pseudoscience, bad science, oversold claims, etc.), or when the evidence
  • Many anecdotes do not equal data.
    On the other hand, data are a series of observations, measurements, or facts.
    Data are information and tell a story.
    Quickly survey students about whether the video they watched at the beginning of class is based on anecdotes or data.
  • To effectively influence decision-makers, you must present your ideas, solutions, or recommendations in a way that appeals to their logic, emotions, and values.
    To do this, it is important to establish your credibility by demonstrating your expertise, experience, and achievements in your field.
Company values enable your people to act quickly and have confidence that they've made the right decision. Listen to hear a story of values in action from Mars.

Do anecdotes affect decision-making?

But anecdotes can subtly get in the way of competent decision-making:

  1. The more unique an event
  2. the less it would generalize

Hence, the more extraordinary an anecdote, the less relevant it would be for decisions.
Anecdotes tend to underestimate the uncertainty involved in decisions.
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Should anecdotes be treated as data points?

Anecdotes are data points and should be treated as such.
But the telling of anecdotes transforms them into something more than plain data.
Hence, decision-makers should not make them the basis of their decisions, but take them as signals to ask some data-related questions:.

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Should decision-makers Beware of unrepresentative anecdotes?

Decision-makers should beware of presenters who constantly opt for unrepresentative anecdotes to sell ideas.
The benefits of this practice are highly asymmetric:

  1. Presenters get the attention they seek
  2. while the insights tend to be unreliable for decisions
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What is anecdotal evidence & why is it important?

Unique events with captivating details make gripping stories.
Anecdotes get frequently used to prove one’s point in business books, TED talks, advertisements, YouTube videos, or tweets.
They can involve impressive successes, catastrophic failures, or some other settings that excite the audience.
But when does anecdotal evidence help decisions? .

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“A & P” by John Updike

Three young women wearing bathing suits enter a grocery store.
Sammy, a nineteen-year-old cashier, watches them as they move through the aisles.
He focuses in particular on one he calls Queenie, who looks like the leader of the group.
The other employees and customers also notice the girls. (Summary & Analysis) Read here

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“A Retrieved Reformation” by O. Henry

Jimmy Valentine, an expert safe-cracker, is released from jail after serving nearly ten months.
The warden urges him to go straight.
He goes to see Mike Dolan at his café; Jimmy’s room is upstairs.
Starting a week after Jimmy’s release, there’s a string of burglaries.
When Jimmy starts going straight he’s faced with a dilemma.
This story can be rea.

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“Curly Red” by Joyce Carol Oates

Lili Rose wasn’t allowed to return home until her father was weakened and dying at seventy-three.
She was exiled at thirteen, sent to live with an aunt and uncle.
She had four older brothers who were often in trouble.
Things changed when a local boy was attacked and beaten, and died soon after from his injuries.
Lili Rose overheard some conversatio.

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“The Lady, Or The Tiger?” by Frank Stockton

A long time ago, a barbaric king had a peculiar method of putting criminals on trial.
They’re placed in an arena and the public is allowed to attend the proceedings.
The accused is brought out before the king.
Opposite him are two doors.
Behind one is a beautiful woman; behind the other, a hungry tiger.
The accuser must choose.
This is the first st.


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