global trends 2035
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DNI
Global Trends: Paradox of Progress is a comprehensive report by the US National Intelligence Council that explores the key drivers and challenges of the future world The report examines how structural forces in demographics environment economics and technology will shape the opportunities and risks for human development security and governance The report also presents scenarios and |
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GLOBAL TRENDS PARADOX PROGRESS
6 GLOBAL TRENDS: PARADOX OF PROGRESS Global Trends and Key Implications Through 2035 The rich are aging the poor are not Working-age populations are shrinking in wealthy countries China and Russia but growing in developing poorer countries particularly in Africa and South Asia increasing economic employment |
How will population growth change in 2035?
Population growth will continue to concentrate in areas vulnerable to sea-level rise, flooding, and storm surges. By 2035, roughly 50 percent more people than in the year 2000 will live in low-elevation coastal zones worldwide, with the number in Asia increasing by more than 150 million and in Africa by 60 million.
What does global risks 2035 say about governance?
The earlier Global Risks 2035 made a plea for leadership. This volume repeats that demand, but adds that better integration of strategic foresight into decision making is needed. Governance will remain difficult so long as it is about crisis management.
Why is air pollution a problem in 2035?
By 2035, outdoor air pollution is projected to be the top cause of environmentally related deaths worldwide, absent implementation of new air quality policies. More than 80 percent of urban dwellers are already exposed to air pollution that exceeds safe limits, according to the World Health Organization.
Navigating The Future: A Strategy For Our Turbulent World
Strategic foresight: 100-day checklist for the new administration 1. Incorporate strategic foresight into decision making in an effort to get ahead of the crisis curve. 2. Undertake entitlement reform. Not putting entitlements on a more solid fiscal foundation willendanger the US’s long term security. 3. Treat water security for US allies and partn
Importance of Leadership
The lack of thinking about and action on repairing the international fabric is itself a concern, given the risks of more open conflict. In her magisterial work on the causes of the First World War—The War That Ended Peace—Margaret MacMillan analyzed how slowly the options for not going to war were eliminated in the fifteen or so years before the ou
Global Trends’ Track Record
The National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends series has never pretended to be a modern-day oracle, but it has held up better than other forecasts—partly because the authors understood that they lived in a revolutionary age with change, not continuity, as the overall megatrend. The authors were criticized in 2004 for questioning whether the eme
The Approach
Because Global Trends and its methodology is so well-known, this paper will draw on Global Trends 2030’s categorization of megatrends, gamechangers, and scenarios. For the most part, policymakers found that framework useful for helping them think about the future. Where necessary in this study, the author has updated the findings in Global Trends 2
Crunch Comes Later For Middle- and Low-Income Countries
Most middle-income countries have proportionally larger and younger workforces, putting them in a better position to prepare for the inevitable aging process. With fewer dependents, there is higher savings potential and more growth capacity. This report’s modeling shows, for example, that upper-middle-income countries will be able to devote more re
Good and Bad Scenarios
Aging and demographic transitions are a given, but a number of variables—such as medical advancements leading to healthier and longer-living populations, unanticipated drops in fertility rates in low-income African nations, or sustained high levels of migration from poorer to higher-income countries—could change the balance between risks and benefi
A Sense of Urgency Needed by All
Political and economic measures can make a critical difference in terms of whether people all end up poorer and more unstable, or able to fully enjoy the benefits of growing longevity. With the aging process in full swing, high-income countries face a particularly difficult task of raising retirement ages, implementing efficiencies in healthcare, a
Youth Bulges Remain Important
While aging will become the predominant demographic trend, the number of countries—fifty—with a median age of twenty-five years or less will remain relatively large, though down from more than eighty such countries in 2010. Such youthful countries tend to have an oversized impact on foreign affairs because of the high correlation between youth bulg
Migration and Mobility
Migration and mobility could be important factors in ameliorating the workforce and skills gaps caused by aging, although rising political and social opposition to immigration may act as an obstacle. Populations in youthful countries could have increasing opportunities so long as they can acquire the skills, and if immigration barriers do not preve
Urbanization
For the first time in human history, a majority of people are now living in urban areas. That number will climb to nearly 60 percent by 2030, in contrast to roughly 30 percent in 1950. Sub-Saharan Africa—where the urban proportion of population is below 50 percent—may have the highest rate of urban population growth, although Asian urban population
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Paradox of Progress
Global Trends represents how the NIC is thinking about the future. It does not represent the official Global Trends and Key Implications Through 2035. |
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Global Trends to 2035 - Economy and Society
This study maps and analyses current and future global trends in the fields of economics and society covering the period to 2035. Drawing on and complementing |
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Global Trends to 2035
Global Trends to 2035. Geo-politics and international power. This study considers eight economic societal |
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PROGRESS
6 GLOBAL TRENDS: PARADOX OF PROGRESS. Global Trends and Key Implications Through 2035. The rich are aging the poor are not. Working-age populations are |
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DCDC Strategic Trends Programme: Future Operating Environment
Chapter 1 outlines the key factors identified in GST 5 that are likely to set the context for UK Defence in 2035. The global context. The global trends |
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GlobalTrends_2040.pdf
Each edition of Global Trends is a unique undertaking as its authors on the National Intel- population will live in such a large city by 2035 |
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Future of the Airline Industry 2035
with global trend specialists and experts in other fields as well as aviation experts. Material from the interviews was taken. |
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Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds
Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds is the fifth installment in the National Intelligence percent or about 2.5 million people by 2035; Japan's. |
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Exploring Europes capability requirements for 2035 and beyond
to support the development of defence and security capabilities in 2035+ thus helping EDA Member trates some of the key global trends that may cause. |
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The effect of diabetes and undernutrition trends on reaching 2035
2 Eki 2014 To achieve the post-2015 global tuberculosis target of 90% reduction in tuberculosis incidence by 2035 the present rate. |
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Global Trends: Paradox of Progress - Office of the Director of
Trends and Key Implications Through 2035 age of approximately 41 by 2035—and will |
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Global Trends: Paradox of Progress - Office of the Director of
documentsPDF |
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Global Trends to 2035 - Oxford Analytica
Trends to 2035 Geo-politics and international power This study considers eight economic, |
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Global Trends to 2035 - Economy and Society - European
2018 — This study maps and analyses current and future global trends in the fields of economics and society, |
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Global Risks 2035 Update - Atlantic Council
2019 — of several of the National Intelligence Council's Global Trends editions—calls our attention to the biggest |
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Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds - The Web site cannot
Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds is the fifth installment in the National Intelligence Council's |
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African futures: key trends to 2035 - Africa Portal
Africa's population is the fastest growing in the world and will account for nearly half of global population |
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SCENARIOS FOR 2035: LONG-TERM TRENDS
the severe recession, the scenario “Too Little Too Late?” begins with global optimism that the |
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Global Strategic trends - Govuk
Strategic Trends describes a strategic context for defence and security looking out to the middle of the Environment – Out to 2035 in the case of GST 5 ) This time, however, to |
