china population decline 2050


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  • How fast is China's population declining?

    After peaking at over 1.42 billion in 2021, current forecasts project that China's population will shrink by over 100 million people by 2050.
    By the end of the century, China's population may dwindle to less than 800 million, with more dire scenarios putting the figure at less than 500 million.

  • What China's falling population means for its future?

    What's the impact? If the decline in the number of people of working age leads to a drop in how many people are actually working, that may raise the cost of labor in China, adding to the price of manufactured goods.

  • Source: National Bureau of Statistics, China.
    China's total natural population[1] dropped by more than 2 million in 2023, according to the latest Chinese statistics.
    The country recorded 9.0 million births and 11.1 million deaths.

Long-term, U.N. experts see China's population shrinking by 109 million by 2050, more than triple the decline of their previous forecast in 2019. China's population aged 60 and over reached 296.97 million in 2023, about 21.1% of its total population, up from 280.04 million in 2022.
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