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Congressional Research Service

https://crsreports.congress.gov

RL32934

U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service

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U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service

U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service

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U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 1

1 2 3

1 See CRS In Focus IF10047, North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), by M. Angeles Villarreal, and CRS

Report R42965, The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), by M. Angeles Villarreal and Ian F. Fergusson.

2 See CRS Report R44981, NAFTA and the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), by M. Angeles

Villarreal and Ian F. Fergusson.

3 Some economists contend that using nominal exchange rates to convert foreign currency into U.S. dollars for

comparing gross domestic product (GDP) may not be the most accurate measurement because prices vary from country

to country. Purchasing power parity (PPP) factors in price differences to reflect the actual purchasing power of

currencies relative to the dollar in real terms. U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 2

4 Table 1. Key Economic Indicators for Mexico and the United States

Mexico United States

2009 2019a 2009 2019

Population (millions) 113 128 306 329

Nominal GDP (US$ billions)b 900 2,614 14,449 21,427 Nominal GDP, PPPc Basis (US$ billions) 1,637 2,614 14,449 21,427

Per Capita GDP (US$) 8,003 9,868 47,171 65,115

Per Capita GDP in $PPPs 14,558 20,490 47,171 65,115

Nominal exports of goods & services (US$

billions)

230 461 1,056 1,645

Exports of goods & services as % of GDPd 27% 39% 11% 12%

Nominal imports of goods & services (US$

billions)

234 455 2,383 2,915

Imports of goods & services as % of GDPd 29% 39% 14% 15% Source: Compiled by CRS based on data from Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) online database. a. Some figures for 2019 are estimates.

b. Nominal GDP is calculated by EIU based on figures from World Bank and World Development Indicators.

c. PPP refers to purchasing power parity, which reflects the purchasing power of foreign currencies in U.S.

dollars. d. Exports and Imports as % of GDP derived by EIU.

4 The World Bank utilizes a method for classifying world economies based on gross national product (GNP). Mexico is

one of 59 economies classified as upper-middle-income, or countries which have a per capita GNP of $3,996 to

$12,375 per year (FY2020). The United States is one of 80 economies classified as a high-income, or countries which

have a per capita GNP of more than $12,375 per year. U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 3

5

Figure 1. U.S. Trade with Mexico: 1999-2019

(U.S. $ in millions)

Source: Compiled by CRS using the United States International Trade Commission (USITC) Interactive Tariff

and Trade DataWeb at http://dataweb.usitc.gov. 6

5 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis interactive statistics, available at http://www.bea.gov.

6 Transportation equipment imports include motor vehicles ($70.7 billion) and motor vehicle parts ($50.6 billion).

U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 4

Figure 2. U.S. Imports from Mexico: 2015-2019

Source: Compiled by CRS using USITC Interactive Tariff and Trade DataWeb at http://dataweb.usitc.gov

Notes: Nominal U.S. dollars.

7

Figure 3. U.S. Exports to Mexico: 2015-2019

Source: Compiled by CRS using USITC Interactive Tariff and Trade DataWeb at http://dataweb.usitc.gov.

Notes: Nominal U.S. dollars.

7 Transportation equipment exports include motor vehicle parts ($20.7 billion), aerospace products ($4.3 billion), and

motor vehicle bodies ($3.6 billion) U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 5

Figure 4. U.S. and Mexican Foreign Direct Investment Positions

1999-2018 Historical Cost Basis by Country of UBO

Source: Compiled by CRS using data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Notes: The Ultimate Beneficial Owner (UBO) is the entity, proceeding up the foreign ownership chain, which is

not more than 50 percent owned by another entity. The UBO is the entity that ultimately owns or controls and

thus ultimately derives the benefits and assumes the risks from owning or controlling an affiliate. U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 6

8 9 10

8 Lorenzo Caliendo and Fernando Parro, Estimates of the Trade and Welfare Effects of NAFTA, National Bureau of

Economic Research, November 2012, pp. 1-5.

9 Dudley Althaus and Christina Rogers, Wall Street Journal, "Donald Trump's NAFTA Plan Would Confront

Globalized Auto Industry," November 10, 2016.

10 Ibid.

U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 7

Figure 5. U.S.-Merchandise Trade by Product (2019)

Source: Compiled by CRS using U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) Interactive Tariff and Trade

DataWeb at http://dataweb.usitc.gov.

Notes: Nominal U.S. dollars.

U.S.-Mexico Economic Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications

Congressional Research Service 8

Mexican Maquiladoras and NAFTA

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