7 mai 2020 · BAC International Bank Inc 's (BIB) main strengths stem from its funding structure that leans on a stable and pulverized deposit base with
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BACInternationalBankInc.
PrimaryCreditAnalyst:
RicardoGrisi,MexicoCity (52)55-5081-4494;ricar do.grisi@spglobal.comSecondaryContact:
JesusSotomayor ,MexicoCity(52)55-5081-4486;jesus.sotomayor@spglobal.comTableOfContents
MajorR atingFactors
Outlook
Rationale
RelatedCriteria WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 1BACInternationalBankInc.
SACPbbb-
Anchorbb+
Business
PositionStrong+1
Capitaland
EarningsModerate0
RiskP ositionAdequate0
FundingAverage
0LiquidityAdequate
+Support0 ALACSupport0
GRESuppor t0
GroupSupport0
Sovereign
Support0
Additional
Factors-1
IssuerCr editRating
BB+/Stable/B
MajorR atingFactors
Strengths:Weaknesses:
·BACInternationalBankInc.'s (BIB)mainstrengths
stemfr omitsfundingstructurethat leansona stable andpulverized depositbase withmanageable short-termfinancialobligations.·Leadpla yerinconsumerlendingandthelargest
financialconglomerate inCentralAmerica; and ·Highlydiversified bygeography,economicsector , andclient, allowingus toratethebankabo vethe sovereignratingonCosta Rica(B+/Negative/B), to whichitishighl yexposed.·Recenteconomic strugglesrelated totheCOVID-19
pandemic,coupledwiththe historicalpolitical vulnerabilitywithintheregion couldrepresent a challengef orthebank'sprofitability andasset qualitymetrics .·Largeexposure toconsumersegment could
representadditionalpressureson assetquality metricsduring thepandemic.·Ourcur rentmoderatecapitalandearnings
assessmentincor poratestheregion'shigheconomic risks.WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 2Outlook:Stab le
Thesta bleoutlookonBIBandits subsidiaryCredomatic InternationalCor p.(CIC) continuetoref lectthaton the
parentBanco deBogotá (BdeB;BB+/Stable/B). Theoutlookalsoreflectsour expectationthatBIB willmaintainits
strongpresenceandleader shipinCentral Americainter msofloansanddeposits overthe next12months .Additionally,webelievethatits profitableoperationsandits largegeog raphicdiver sificationwillhelp tomaintain
itsbusiness stability, despitetheglobaleconomicturmoildrivenb ytheCO VID-19pandemic. Weexpect BIBandCICto keep theircorestatustoBdeBinthefuture. BIB,on aconsolidatedbasis ,continuesto accountfor alarge
amountof itsparent'sear ningsandcapital, andtheg roupcontinuestoviewit asafundamental subsidiaryf orits
futurestrateg y.Thus,theratingsonBIBand CICwillmoveintandem withthoseon theparent.Downsidescenario
Wecouldlow ertherating onBIBandCICoverthenext12 monthsifw edowng radetheirparent.Upsidescenar io
Therating onBdeBconstrains theratingson BIBandCIC ,andthe ratingsonthe bankandCIC willlikel ymove intandemwith thoseonthe parent.Ifw erevisethe outlookonthe parenttopositi veorraise theratings,wew ould
takeasimilaraction onBIBand CIC.Rationale
Ourratings onBIBand CICreflect ourexpectationsthat thebankand itssubsidiary willmaintaintheirresilienceand
businesssta bilitydespitethemarket andglobaleconomic turmoilcaused byCOVID-19.ThisisthankstoBIB's leading
marketpositioninCentralAmericaon aconsolidatedbasis anditssound businessstability ,supported bya large,
stickyandwell-di versifiedcustomer base.Theratingsalsoreflectourprojectedrisk-adjustedcapital (RAC)ratio of
6.85%,on average, overthenexttwoyears ,underpinnedbyconstant internalcapital generationanda conservative
dividendpayout policy.Moreover,weexpectits manageableassetqualitymetricsand itshighlydiversifiedloanportfolio(bylocationandsector) willsupportourriskposition assessmentdespitethe morevulnerable andweak er
operationalen vironmentin2020.Finally,BIB'smain strengthsstemfr omitsfunding structurethatissupportedbya
stableandpulverizedde positbasewith manageableshor t-termfinancialobligations. Anchor:'bb+'onweightedav erage economicrisksforcountr ieswhereBIBoperatesandPanama's industryriskOurbank criteriauseour BankingIndustry CountryRisk Assessment(BICRA)economic andindustry riskscoresto
determineabank'sanchor ,thestar tingpointin assigninganissuercreditrating. Wescore aBICRAonascalefr om1
to10, rangingfrom thelow est-riskbankingsystems(group '1')tothe highest-risk(group'10').Theanchorfor BIBis
'bb+'.The'bb+' anchordraws onourview oftheexpectedweighteda verageeconomicrisk inthecountries inwhich BIBhas
exposurethr oughitsloanbook:CostaRica (28%),Panama (24%),Guatemala(20%), Honduras(12%),El Salvador(11%),and Nicaragua(5%),as ofDecember2019. Asaresult, theweighted economicriskr oundsto'7'. Thecommon
factordri vingthiseconomicriskscoreis lowincome inthecountries wherethe bankoperates, whichaf fectstheWWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 3
BAC International Bank Inc.
countries'vulnera bilitytoexternalshocks, anddebt andpaymentcapacityincountries withweakruleof law.ForBIB'sindustry riskscore, weusePanama's'5' score.P anamadoesnothavea centralbankorformal lenderoflast
resort,oranef fectivede positinsurancesystem tosupportdistressedfinancialinstitutions.To addresstheeconomic
impactof COVID-19,the SuperintendencyofBanksallowed bankstouse theaccumulated dynamicpro visioning(aboutUS$1.3billion,or 2%ofGDP)to absorbthe impactofcredit losses.It alsoallow edbanksto undertakevoluntary
loanrestr ucturingwithtroubledborr ower s.Finally,the governmenthassuccessfullyusedpublic-ownedbank,Banco
Nacionalde Panama(BNP), asthevehicletopro videadequateliquidity tothebanking systemandunder stressful
conditions.Ontheother hand,thecountr y'sfinancialsystem regulationcontinuesto improve ,reducingthe gapwith
internationalregulators, althoughimplementationchallengesremain.In2019,FATF placedPanama backonits "grey"
listof countriesfor legalandregulator yshortcomingsrelatedtoinsuf ficientpreventative measuresagainstmoney
launderingand financingterr orism.Panama's missingrecommendationsareprimarilyoutsidethePanamanianfinancialsector ,limitingthepossibilityofa significantimpacton thefinancialsystem. Thesefactors ,alongwith the
regulator'sef fortstostrengthenthebankingsystem'sinstitutionalframework, shouldallow market confidenceto
remainunaf fectedsofar,inour view.Table1
BACInternationalBankInc.Key Figures
--Year-endedDec.31-- (Mil.$) 20192018201720162015 Adjustedassets 23,575.322,383.721,640.119,658.718,331.3 Customerloans (gross) 16,788.016,195.415,481.714,315.913,108.3 Adjustedcommon equity2,531.42,323.72,250.41,984.51,848.7 Operatingrevenues 2,135.62,079.11,912.41,776.11,592.5 Noninterestexpenses 1,199.11,128.01,058.11,019.8953.0Coreear nings410.5405.3376.0360.2319.9
Businessposition: Adequatere venuedi versificationandbusinessstabilitydespitemorevulnera ble operatingconditions Despitethe bleakmark etandeconomic conditionsbecauseoftheturmoilcausedby COVID-19,w eexpectBIB'ssoundmar ketshare,amplerevenuediversification, andhistoricallystableoperating revenuetosuppor touro verall
businessposition assessmentundercur rentcircumstances.BIBmaintains itsleadingposition inCentralAmerica, aswell asitssolid businessdiver sificationby geograph y,
segment,and client.Thebank hasregionalmar ketshares of9.3%in totalassets, 10.2%inloans ,and9.5%indeposits,
andis oneofthe fivelargest banksineach countryit operatesinasofyear -end2019.This hasresultedin historical
revenuesta bility,withatotaloperatingrevenuescompoundannual gro wthrateof 6.3%inthe lastthreefiscal years .
Althoughw eexpectoperatingrevenuegr owthrate tocontractthis year, webelieveBIB'sstickycustomerbaseand
largebusiness linesshouldhelp thebankto surpassthe regionaleconomiccontraction, andtogenerate positive
bottom-lineresults during2020. Finally,webelieveBIBbenefits fromastrongmanagement teamthathas ampleexperiencewithin theCentralAmericanbanking industry, andhasbeenverysuccessfulwiththeg roup'sbusiness gro wthstrategy .ThelatterhasWWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 4
BAC International Bank Inc.
enhancedits regionalpresenceand helpedito vercomeadverse economicconditionsin thepast.Overall, webelieve
BIBhas amoreadv antageouspositioncompared tosmallerregional peers. Chart1WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 5BAC International Bank Inc.
Chart2
Table2
BACInternationalBankInc.Business Position
--Year-endedDec.31-- (%)20192018201720162015 Totalrevenuesfrom businessline(cur rencyinmillions)2,135.62,082.61,907.01,755.31,592.5 Commercial& retailbanking/totalrevenues frombusiness lineN/A89.6N/AN/AN/A Tradingandsalesincome/total revenuesfrom businessline4.67.96.26.45.5 Otherrevenues/total revenuesfrom businessline2.62.52.01.12.1 Investmentbanking/totalrevenuesfr ombusinessline 4.67.96.26.45.5Returnonaverage commonequity14.615.215.015.015.2
N/A--Notapplica ble.
Capitalandearnings: Aver ageRACratio of6.85%overthenext18to24monthsWeexpectlow erbusinessv olumesandassetqualitydeteriorationtodragdown BIB'sprofita bility,andconsequently,
ourpr ojectedRACratiofor 2020and2021.However ,current capitalizationlevelsandmanageableasset qualityindicatorsreflectsthe bank'scapacitytowithstandCOVID-19's globaldisruption withoutaffecting ouroverall capital
andear ningsassessment,atleastfor thenext12 months.WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 6
BAC International Bank Inc.
OurRA Cforecastconsidersthe followingassumptions:
•Central Americaneconomiesto contractasf ollowsduring 2020:CostaRica: -2.6%;Guatemala:-3.7%; Honduras
-2.5%;El Salvador:-4.5%, andPanamá-2.0%. •Modest singledigitloan portfolio gro wthratesf or2020and2021;•Lo wernetinterestmarginsbecauseweexpect thehighly competitiveen vironmentalong withhighereconomic risks
inthe regionwillcontinue pressuringlendingprices andfundingcosts .•Lo werprofitabilitylevels,between 0.5%and1.0%,resultingfromhighernewloan lossprovisionsandlo wer
businessv olume.•Nonperf ormingassets(NPAs)andcreditlossesa bovethe historicalaverageduetothe economiclockdown and
regionalGDP contraction,butstill manageableand fullyco veredby reserves. Wecontinuetosee ahighquality ofcapital,based onBIB'sa bsenceofh ybridcapitalinstr uments,but mostimportantlyduetothesoundand resilientqualityof earningsthat provides sufficientfinancial flexibilityto passour
sovereignstresstestf orits28% exposureinCosta Rica.Moreover,thebank'sadequatecost-incomeratio supportsits qualityofear nings.This ratiowas 56.15%asof year-end
2019,somew hatimprovedfrom previousyears.Furthermore, netinterestincomeaccountsfor about61% oftotal
revenues,feesfor 32%,andtrading for5%.Weexpect thismixto remainthesame overthe nexttwoyears .Webelievethese factorswill continuetosupportouro verallcapitaland earningsassessment despitetheexpected
pressureson itscapitalmetrics . Chart3WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 7BAC International Bank Inc.
Table3
BACInternationalBankInc.Ca pitalAndEarnings
--Year-endedDec.31-- (%)20192018201720162015Tier1 capitalratio11.511.811.811.013.5
S&PGlobal Ratings'RA Cratiobeforediver sificationN/A6.46.56.2N/A S&PGlobal Ratings'RA Cratioafterdiversification N/A5.45.45.3N/A Adjustedcommon equity/totaladjustedcapital 100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0 Netinterest income/operatingrevenues60.658.560.060.261.6 Noninterestexpenses/operating revenues56.154.355.357.459.8Coreear nings/averagemanagedassets1.81.81.81.91.8
N/A--Notapplica ble.
Riskposition: Assetqualityand creditlosses atmanagea blele velsinspiteofeconomic contractionCentralAmerica's economicslow downand theuncertaintyaboutthegovernment'scapacitiesandeconomic policies
todeal withtheCO VID-19pandemiccould widenBIB'scredit losses.However, webelieve historicallypr udentunderwritingstandar dsandthehighlydi versifiedloan portfolio bycountry,segment, andclientwillsupportasset
qualityand ouroverall riskpositionassessment. Itsloan portfolio asofDecember2019consistedof43%inthe commercialsegment,20% inresidentialcommercial mortgageloans,and 37%inconsumerloans.W enotethat sectorshighl yvulnerable totheimpact oftheCOVID-19pandemicsuch astourism,restaurants ,entertainment, construction,and transportation,amongothers, representless
than5% ofthebank's totalconsolidatedloan portfolio .Moreover,intermsofsingle exposures,BIB's top20largestloansrepresented only7.3% ofitstotal loanportfolioand
48.4%of itstotaladjusted capital.Thelatter reflectsthe bank'slargef ocusonretail initscredit operations,k eepingits
loanpor tfoliorelativelypulverized.Assetquality hasremainedsta bleandhealth ybecauseof thebank'sadequateoriginationpoliciesand expansion
strategyinsegmentsw hereit'shistoricall yoperated.NP Asandcreditlosseswere 1.68%and2.15%, respectively,asof
Dec.31,2019.On aconsolidatedbasis ,BIBstill hasmanageable assetqualitymetrics andwe expectthattocontinue
inthe next12months ,despitethe expecteddeteriorationduring 2020thatcoulddoubletheNP Asamount.Finally,weexpectBIBto participateinthemoratoriumpr ograms accordingto eachcountry's policiesandregulatory
frameworks,butwealsoexpectthebank tostart generatingnewloanlossreserves inorder tomaintainhealth yreservecoveragef orpotentialcreditlossesafterthis period.WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 8
BAC International Bank Inc.
Chart4WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 9BAC International Bank Inc.
Chart5
Table4
BACInternationalBankInc.Risk Position
--Year-endedDec.31-- (%)20192018201720162015Growthincustomerloans3.74.68.19.213.1
Totaldiversification adjustment/S&PGlobalRatings'RWAbefore diversification N/A18.519.016.5N/A Totalmanagedassets/adjustedcommon equity(x)9.59.89.810.110.1 Newloan losspro visions/averagecustomer loans2.32.42.11.91.6 Netcharge-of fs/averagecustomerloans2.22.01.81.51.5 Grossnonperforming assets/customerloans+otherrealestateowned1.71.41.31.41.3 Loanloss reserves/gr ossnonperformingassets198.9229.2141.4124.1120.8N/A--Notapplica ble.
Fundingand liquidity:Highlysta blefunding basethatpr ovidesfinancialflexibilityunderstressful conditionsKeyfactor stoconsiderundertighteningfinancing conditionsanda stalledeconomy areliquidityneeds andfunding
flexibility.WebelieveBIBenjo ysafavorable positionwithits largeandhighl ypulverizeddepositbase. Thebankalso
hasmaintained verymanagea bleshort-termwholesale obligationsgiventhatitfunds mostofitsoperationswithWWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 10
BAC International Bank Inc.
customerde posits.AsofApril21(latestinf ormationpr ovidedb yissuer),corecustomerdeposits hadincreased4%
from2019year -endfigures. ThisreflectsBIB'ssolidbrandrecognitionand reputationinCentralAmerica,w hich
providesadditionalstrengthandfinancialf lexibilityunderthe fly-to-quality conditions.In thissense, despitethe
adverseenvironment, weexpectBIBtomaintainitssolidde positbase,manageableliquidity needs,and satisfactory
financialf lexibilityfor2020.Inter msofliquidity,BIB'sliquidity levelsaremore thanenoughtocoverits operations.As oftheend of2019,its
liquidityratio was8.28x withathree-yearaverage of7.7x.Although itsliquidityco verageratiois significantlyhigher
thanthose ofotherbanking systemsinCentral America(andhigher thanotherbanks acrossLatin America),webelievethis isapr udentapproach, mainlybecause someofitssecurityholdingsare instrumentsthattradeinthe local
andundeveloped capitalmark et,which lacksadeepanddevelopedsecondarymar ketthatcouldpro videliquidity underadver seconditions.Chart6
Table5
BACInternationalBankInc.Funding AndLiquidity
--Year-endedDec.31-- (%)20192018201720162015Corede posits/fundingbase86.581.580.477.877.6
Customerloans (net)/customerdeposits 94.699.8101.7106.7104.9Broadliquidassets/short-ter mwholesale funding(x)8.37.67.36.37.8WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 11
BAC International Bank Inc.
Table5
BACInternationalBankInc.Funding AndLiquidity(cont.) --Year-endedDec.31-- (%)20192018201720162015 Short-termwholesalefunding/totalwholesale funding23.018.017.015.912.9Support:Coresubsidiaryforpar ent
Wecontinuetoview BIBandCIC ascoreentities forBdeB .Amongother things,BIB operatesinthe samebusinesslinesas itsparentand isclosely linkedto BdeB'sreputation andriskmanagement. BIBhaskeptits performanceinline
withthe group's expectations.Asoftheendof2019,BIB (onaconsolidatedbasis,including CIC)accountedf or44%of
BdeB'stotal reported equity,45%oftotalassets,and44% oftotalnetincome.W ebelievethat anypotential financial
stressat theparentlevel wouldlik elyaf fectBIB'sstand-alone creditprofile(SACP).The relativelyweakerparentcould
potentiallydivert assetsfromthesubsidiaryorburden itwithlia bilitiesduringfinancialstressthatcould resultinm uch
lessf lexibilityforBIB'sdebt andcapitalraising.Inthat sense,the ratingsonBdeBwillcontinueto limittheratings on
BIBand consequentlyon CIC.
RelatedCriteria
GeneralCriteria: HybridCapital:Methodolo gyAnd Assumptions,Jul y1,2019 GeneralCriteria: GroupR atingMethodology,Jul y1,2019 Criteria- FinancialInstitutions- General:Risk-AdjustedCapital Framewor kMethodolog y,Jul y20,2017 GeneralCriteria: Methodology ForLinkingLong-TermAndShort-T ermRatings,A pril7,2017 GeneralCriteria: GroupR atingMethodology,No v.19,2013GeneralCriteria: RatingsAbo veTheSovereign--CorporateAnd GovernmentRatings:Methodolo gyAnd Assumptions,
Nov.19,2013
Criteria- FinancialInstitutions- Banks:Quantitative MetricsFor RatingBanks Globally:Methodolo gyAndAssumptions,July17, 2013
Criteria- FinancialInstitutions- Banks:Banks:R atingMethodolog yAndAssumptions ,Nov .9,2011Criteria- FinancialInstitutions- Banks:BankingIndustr yCountry RiskAssessmentMethodolo gyAnd Assumptions,
Nov.9,2011
GeneralCriteria: UseOfCreditW atchAndOutlooks ,Sept. 14,2009WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 12
BAC International Bank Inc.
AnchorMatrix
Industry
RiskEconomicRisk
12345678910
1aaa-bbb+bbb+bbb----
2aa-a-bbb+bbbbbbbbb----
3a-a-bbb+bbb+bbbbbb-bbb-bb+--
4bbb+bbb+bbb+bbbbbbbbb-bb+bbbb-
5bbb+bbbbbbbbbbbb-bbb-bb+bbbb-b+
6bbbbbbbbb-bbb-bbb-bb+bbbbbb-b+
7-bbb-bbb-bb+bb+bbbbbb-b+b+
8--bb+bbbbbbbb-bb-b+b
9---bbbb-bb-b+b+b+b
10----b+b+b+bbb-
RatingsDetail(AsOf May7,2020)*
BACInternationalBankInc.
IssuerCredit RatingBB+/Sta ble/B
IssuerCr editRatingsHistory
12-Dec-2017BB+/Sta ble/B
28-Jul-2016BBB-/Negati ve/A-3
26-Feb-2016BBB-/WatchNeg/A-3
17-Feb-2016BBB-/Negative/A-3
SovereignRating
PanamaBBB+/Negative/A-2
RelatedEntities
Bancode BogotaS.A. ySubsidiarias
IssuerCredit RatingBB+/Sta ble/B
SeniorUnsecured BB+
CredomaticInternationalCor p.
IssuerCredit RatingBB+/Sta ble/B
*Unlessotherwise noted,allratings inthisre portare globalscaleratings .S&PGlobal Ratings'credit ratingsontheglobalscalearecomparable
acrosscountries.S&P GlobalRatings'creditratingson anationalscale arerelative toobligorsorobligationswithin thatspecificcountr y.Issue and
debtratingscouldinclude debtguaranteed byanother entity,and rateddebtthatanentity guarantees.WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECTMAY 7, 2020 13
BAC International Bank Inc.
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