[PDF] CHAPTER 7 POLYNOMIAL TREND MODELS 71 INTRODUCTION

7 2 SECOND-ORDER POLYNOMIAL MODELS 7 2 1 The general model form At any time t, a second-order polynomial DLM has a straight line forecast function 



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Sometimes you have a second-order polynomial of the form ax2 + bx + c and you would like to write as (x + d)2 + e



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CHAPTER 7 POLYNOMIAL TREND MODELS 71 INTRODUCTION

7 2 SECOND-ORDER POLYNOMIAL MODELS 7 2 1 The general model form At any time t, a second-order polynomial DLM has a straight line forecast function 

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