Statistics of Environmental Change, Resources and Ecosystems

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Sa résolution s avère dif cile et constitue toujours une source de questions pour les mathématiciens 113 Climatologie et statistiques Pascal Yiou, directeur de recherche au CEA Ph ilippe Naveau, chargé de recherche CNRS à l Institut Pierre Simon Laplace L étude du climat et de ses variations est basée sur un grand nombre d outils et

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et climatologie), il affirme que tous les continents étaient autrefois rassemblés en un seul : la Pangée Sa théorie déclenche une controverse importante avec le géophysicien britannique Harold Jeffreys Disposition des continents il ya 225 millions d'années( ) aujourd'hui( ) (1891-1989) car ce dernier démontre qu'aucune

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1 [Type a quote from the document or the summary of an interesting point. You can position the text box anywhere in the document. Use the Drawing Tools tab to change the formatting of the pull quote text box.] In this newsletter we begin by taking a look back at our Annual conference held in September 2016.

We describe the SECURE Feasibility Project

Portfolio and feature one of the Feasibility projects

We give details

of the SECURE Grand Challenge on page three.

Marian Scott, the SECURE PI reports on her recent

visit to Westminster for : an academic conference". Our first short article by

Dr Francesco

Finazzi, explains

some of the interest and challenges in new forms of data being generated in this case by smartphone applications applied to environmental hazards, in this case earthquakes. Our second invited article by Professor Sarah

Cleaveland touches on some of the global

challenges in one planet, one health. These short overviews introduce you to two areas which go straight to the aims and objectives of SECURE and hopefully will stimulate you to make connections and to think about new challenges that you can begin to address.

SECURE Annual conference

The SECURE Annual conference was held on the

20th September, 2016 at the Glasgow Science

Centre. The delegates enjoyed a mixture of talks and workshops.

The day began with Marian summarising the

activities of the network. This was followed by a talk by Dr MSample, modelling and uncertainty, statistical approaches to some environmental question. Throughout the day there were short talks on the feasibility projects SECURE had funded on its first call. First Dr Ben

Marchant from BGS talked on

which demonstrated how extreme value statistical methods could be used to predict the frequency and characteristics of groundwater droughts and floods and how they might change in a changing climate. This was followed by Dr Claire Miller from the

University of Glasgow, whose project

software to identify spatiotemporal patterns and coherence over river networks developed novel statistical tools, which can help to identify monitoring sites on river networks which are most influential in explaining spatiotemporal nutrient patterns. In the final feasibility project talk of the morning session,

Abrupt changes in climate and ecosystems:

automatic model selection, Dr Rebecca Killick introduced the EnvCpt R software package which enables practitioners to fit several models with and without changepoints to their data with an indication of which model provides the best fit.

The delegates then attended one of the

following two workshops: Communicating which was chaired by Dr Murray Lark

Innovative applications of new data streams

which was chaired

In the second workshop the participants

discussed the potential for data obtained from emerging technologies such as portable sensors and remote sensing equipment. A good example of this is the article by Dr Finazzi on page four. It was noted that there is still a lot of work to be done in the validation of data from these new sources and that current statistical approaches may need to be adapted in order to deal with rapidly increasing quantities of data in both space and time.

In the afternoon, Professor Louise

Heathwaite, the Chief Scientific Adviser for Rural Affairs and the Environment provided an overview of

Advising on scientific evidence in an uncertain

world. This was followed by the final Feasibility project talk by Dr Christine Braban Feasibility testing of low-cost sensors to represent spatiotemporal variability of ambient ground- level NO2 and O3. At the end of the day, Professor Richard Chandler from UCL gave an entertaining and interactive talk:

[PDF] Statistics of Environmental Change, Resources and Ecosystems