Committee Assessment Research Citation Statistics
We do not dismiss citation statistics as a tool for assessing the quality of research—citation data and statistics can provide some valuable information We recognize that assessment must be practical, and for this reason easily‐derived citation statistics almost surely will be part of the process
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Statistics(IMS)
Correctedversion,
6/12/08
RobertAdler,JohnEwing(Chair),PeterTaylor
6/11/2008
2Executive
Summary
citationstatistics. understandingofresearch - anunderstandingthatisvalidonlywhenreinforcedbyother Using citationdatatoassessresearchultimatelymeansusingcitationͲbasedstatisticstorankthings - oftenmisunderstoodandmisused. itoccurs. 3 Wedonotdismisscitationstatisticsasatoolforassessingthequalityofresearch - citationdataand withonlyasinglecoarsetool. order itsquality.PeterTaylor,UniversityofMelbourne
Fromthecommitteecharge
Thedrivetowardsmoretransparencyand
accountabilityintheacademicworldhas createda"cultureofnumbers"inwhich decisionscanbereachedbyalgorithmic evaluationofsomestatisticaldata;unable tomeasurequality(theultimategoal), thattheycanmeasure.Thistrendcallsfor commentfromthosewhoprofessionally "dealwithnumbers" - mathematiciansand statisticians. 4Introduction
money order universityresearch - theUKResearchAssessmentExercise(RAE) - shouldbereplacedafterthe Those research enterprise - journals,papers,people,programs,andevenentiredisciplines - simplyand Those citationmeansthesamethingaboutthecitedresearch - its"impact".Thisisanassumptionthat isunprovenandquitelikelyincorrect. Those research implicitlyholdsuchabelief.Wenotonlyneedtousestatisticscorrectly - weneedto usethemwiselyaswell. 5 rely predominantlyon"simpleandobjective"citationͲbasedmetrics - ademandthatoftenis research hasbeenmadebefore(forexample[Martin1996] in some review - thejudgmentoffellowscientists - isanimportant component ofassessment.(Weshouldnotdiscardpeer review role used 1 ThisResearchusuallyhasmultiple
goals anditistherefore reasonablethatitsvaluemust bejudgedbymultiplecriteria. 6Ranking
journals:Theimpactfactor 2Information),
3 For generally tocomparejournals. counted 4 7 compute0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%
2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
Percentof2003citations
CitationCurves
CellBiology
Education
Economics
Mathematics
00.511.522.53
"ImpactFactors"
Top100MathematicsJournals
2Ͳyear
5Ͳyear
10Ͳyear
Reviewscitationdatabase.
Impact
Factor
8 the"sourceyear"(seebelow). differentdisciplinesusingimpactfactors.Citations
Averagecitationsperarticle
9 using be "better".Theonlymodelderivesfromtheimpactfactoritself - alargerimpactfactormeansabetter journal. hypothesis. may aboutthesethings. attention informed peerreview."[THOMSON:IMPACTFACTOR]Ranking
papers In 10 mathematiciansaroundtheworld: second journal createdusingtheimpactfactor.) In disciplines. skewed, thatcanbemadeprecisewithanexample. in 11 pages),withcitationcountsrangingfrom0to12.Theaveragenumberofcitationsperarticlewas.846 - abouttwicethatoftheProceedings. Now superiortothefirst,publishingapaperinajournalwithhigherimpactfactor - infact,twiceashigh!IsProceedings?
When0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
0123456789101112
Percentofarticles
Citations
Proceedings
oftheAMS0%10%20%30%40%50%60%
0123456789101112
Percentofarticles
Citations
Transactions
ofAMS 12Transactions
paper - inspiteofthefactthattheProceedingsimpactfactorisonlyhalfthatoftheTransactions
5Itshowsthevalueof
precise (Forexample,theJournaloftheAMSoverthesameperiodhasanimpactfactor2.63 - sixtimesthatof the thesenseofcitations,32%ofthetime.) Itfollowsthatthekindsofcalculationsperformedinthethreeexamplesabove - usingtheimpactfactor as aproxyforactualcitationcountsforindividualpapers - havelittlerationalbasis.Makingassertions anassessment.Ranking
scientists While rankindividuals. h n citations.Whileitisincorrecttosaythat
theimpactfactorgivesno information aboutindividual papers inajournal,the information issurprisingly vagueandcanbedramatically misleading. 13 g 2 citations. ismeanttocompensateforthis. There aremoreindices - manymoreofthem - includingvariantsofthoseabovethattakeintoaccount InNeither
InConversely,
total 10 equivalent?) 6 While 14 - publications.InonenotablepaperaboutthehͲindex[LehmannͲJacksonͲLautrup2006]theauthors A InThemeaningofcitations
Those counts, In meaningofcitations. [THOMSON:HISTORY]Understandingoughttobethe
goalwhenassessingresearch, notmerelyensuringthatany two peoplearecomparable. 15 "Although better in journal becomethegenericwordusedtoassignmeaningtocitations - atermthatfirstaroseinashortpaper may helpthehistoriantomeasuretheinfluenceofthearticle - thatis,its'impactfactor.'" [Garfield1955,p.3] paperhasbeen"builtupon"theworkofthecited - thatcitationsarethemechanismbywhichresearch propagatesitselfforward. There assessingresearch,MartinandIrvinewrite: papers..."[MartinͲIrvine1983,p.69] In associated withacitation - anacknowledgmentthattheciting however,haveameaningquitedifferent - areferencetoa intellectual canhavebothmeanings. The meaningofcitationsisnot simpleandcitationͲbased statisticsarenotnearlyas "objective"asproponents assert. 16 whichpapertociterhetoricallydependsonmanyfactors - theprestigeofthecitedauthor(the"halo" manyexamplesofsuch"warning"citations. Thesociologyofcitationsisacomplexsubject - onethatisbeyondthescopeofthisreport.Eventhis cursory evaluationbecauseofthiscorrelation:Usingstatisticswisely
writtenbythesociologistJoelBest: social our 17 problems. p 160]research promotingthehͲindexanditsvariants. [Stringer 7 We aremeanttotreatthenumbersandrankingswithawe - astruthsratherthancreations. performanceassessmentofthingsotherthanresearch - publicsectorperformancemonitoringinthe firstandhealthcare/educationinthesecond - eachprovidesinsightaboutthesensibleuseofstatistics in assessingresearch. Data (We
Ifoneconsultswithdoctors
whenpracticingmedicine, surelyoneoughttoconsult withstatisticianswhen practicingstatistics. 18 assemblingStatisticalAnalysisandPresentation
publishes,InterpretationandImpact
[GoldsteinͲSpiegelhalter1996,p.390] success unstudied. have 19 involvedintheassessmentofresearch.PeterTaylor,UniversityofMelbourne
20References
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CurrentComments#2,p.3,January12,1987.
______. 1998.Long-term vs. short-term journal impact (part II). The Scientist12(14):12-3 (July 6, 1998).
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No.21,pp.1003Ͳ1004.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02129599 andTechnology,Vol58,No13,pp.2105Ͳ2125.
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http://imechanica.org/files/paper.pdf Monastersky, R. 2005.Thenumberthat'sdevouringscience.ChronicleHigherEd.Vol. 52, No. 8.No6,December17,pp.1091Ͳ1092.
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Endnotes
1Vol.1,No.2(April1934),pp.163Ͳ169.
2 3MATHEMATICS(217)
MATHEMATICSAPPLIED(177)
MATHEMATICSINTERDISCIPLINARY(76)
PHYSICS,MATHEMATICAL(44)
PROBABILITYANDSTATISTICS(96)
4 5 equivalent. timeformathematics - articlesoftentakemanyyearstoaccumulatecitations.Ifwechooselonger comparing 256 distribution lookslikethefollowing: citationcountsforthese15papersis: In 7 be discarded - thatis,allcitationsfromarticlesinagivenjournalJtoarticlespublishedinJduringthe
0%5%10%15%20%25%30%
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