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Committee Assessment Research Citation Statistics

We do not dismiss citation statistics as a tool for assessing the quality of research—citation data and statistics can provide some valuable information We recognize that assessment must be practical, and for this reason easily‐derived citation statistics almost surely will be part of the process



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Statistics(IMS)

Correctedversion,

6/12/08

RobertAdler,JohnEwing(Chair),PeterTaylor

6/11/2008

2

Executive

Summary

citationstatistics. understandingofresearch - anunderstandingthatisvalidonlywhenreinforcedbyother Using citationdatatoassessresearchultimatelymeansusingcitationͲbasedstatisticstorankthings - oftenmisunderstoodandmisused. itoccurs. 3 Wedonotdismisscitationstatisticsasatoolforassessingthequalityofresearch - citationdataand withonlyasinglecoarsetool. order itsquality.

PeterTaylor,UniversityofMelbourne

Fromthecommitteecharge

Thedrivetowardsmoretransparencyand

accountabilityintheacademicworldhas createda"cultureofnumbers"inwhich decisionscanbereachedbyalgorithmic evaluationofsomestatisticaldata;unable tomeasurequality(theultimategoal), thattheycanmeasure.Thistrendcallsfor commentfromthosewhoprofessionally "dealwithnumbers" - mathematiciansand statisticians. 4

Introduction

money order universityresearch - theUKResearchAssessmentExercise(RAE) - shouldbereplacedafterthe Those research enterprise - journals,papers,people,programs,andevenentiredisciplines - simplyand Those citationmeansthesamethingaboutthecitedresearch - its"impact".Thisisanassumptionthat isunprovenandquitelikelyincorrect. Those research implicitlyholdsuchabelief.Wenotonlyneedtousestatisticscorrectly - weneedto usethemwiselyaswell. 5 rely predominantlyon"simpleandobjective"citationͲbasedmetrics - ademandthatoftenis research hasbeenmadebefore(forexample[Martin1996] in some review - thejudgmentoffellowscientists - isanimportant component ofassessment.(Weshouldnotdiscardpeer review role used 1 This

Researchusuallyhasmultiple

goals anditistherefore reasonablethatitsvaluemust bejudgedbymultiplecriteria. 6

Ranking

journals:Theimpactfactor 2

Information),

3 For generally tocomparejournals. counted 4 7 compute

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%

2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994

Percentof2003citations

CitationCurves

CellBiology

Education

Economics

Mathematics

00.511.522.53

"Impact

Factors"

Top100MathematicsJournals

2Ͳyear

5Ͳyear

10

Ͳyear

Reviewscitationdatabase.

Impact

Factor

8 the"sourceyear"(seebelow). differentdisciplinesusingimpactfactors.

Citations

Averagecitationsperarticle

9 using be "better".Theonlymodelderivesfromtheimpactfactoritself - alargerimpactfactormeansabetter journal. hypothesis. may aboutthesethings. attention informed peerreview."[THOMSON:IMPACTFACTOR]

Ranking

papers In 10 mathematiciansaroundtheworld: second journal createdusingtheimpactfactor.) In disciplines. skewed, thatcanbemadeprecisewithanexample. in 11 pages),withcitationcountsrangingfrom0to12.Theaveragenumberofcitationsperarticlewas.846 - abouttwicethatoftheProceedings. Now superiortothefirst,publishingapaperinajournalwithhigherimpactfactor - infact,twiceashigh!Is

Proceedings?

When

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

0123456789101112

Percentofarticles

Citations

Proceedings

oftheAMS

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%

0123456789101112

Percentofarticles

Citations

Transactions

ofAMS 12

Transactions

paper - inspiteofthefactthattheProceedingsimpactfactorisonlyhalfthatofthe

Transactions

5

Itshowsthevalueof

precise (Forexample,theJournaloftheAMSoverthesameperiodhasanimpactfactor2.63 - sixtimesthatof the thesenseofcitations,32%ofthetime.) Itfollowsthatthekindsofcalculationsperformedinthethreeexamplesabove - usingtheimpactfactor as aproxyforactualcitationcountsforindividualpapers - havelittlerationalbasis.Makingassertions anassessment.

Ranking

scientists While rankindividuals. h n citations.

Whileitisincorrecttosaythat

theimpactfactorgivesno information aboutindividual papers inajournal,the information issurprisingly vagueandcanbedramatically misleading. 13 g 2 citations. ismeanttocompensateforthis. There aremoreindices - manymoreofthem - includingvariantsofthoseabovethattakeintoaccount In

Neither

In

Conversely,

total 10 equivalent?) 6 While 14 - publications.InonenotablepaperaboutthehͲindex[LehmannͲJacksonͲLautrup2006]theauthors A In

Themeaningofcitations

Those counts, In meaningofcitations. [THOMSON:HISTORY]

Understandingoughttobethe

goalwhenassessingresearch, notmerelyensuringthatany two peoplearecomparable. 15 "Although better in journal becomethegenericwordusedtoassignmeaningtocitations - atermthatfirstaroseinashortpaper may helpthehistoriantomeasuretheinfluenceofthearticle - thatis,its'impactfactor.'" [Garfield1955,p.3] paperhasbeen"builtupon"theworkofthecited - thatcitationsarethemechanismbywhichresearch propagatesitselfforward. There assessingresearch,MartinandIrvinewrite: papers..."[MartinͲIrvine1983,p.69] In associated withacitation - anacknowledgmentthattheciting however,haveameaningquitedifferent - areferencetoa intellectual canhavebothmeanings. The meaningofcitationsisnot simpleandcitationͲbased statisticsarenotnearlyas "objective"asproponents assert. 16 whichpapertociterhetoricallydependsonmanyfactors - theprestigeofthecitedauthor(the"halo" manyexamplesofsuch"warning"citations. Thesociologyofcitationsisacomplexsubject - onethatisbeyondthescopeofthisreport.Eventhis cursory evaluationbecauseofthiscorrelation:

Usingstatisticswisely

writtenbythesociologistJoelBest: social our 17 problems. p 160]
research promotingthehͲindexanditsvariants. [Stringer 7 We aremeanttotreatthenumbersandrankingswithawe - astruthsratherthancreations. performanceassessmentofthingsotherthanresearch - publicsectorperformancemonitoringinthe firstandhealthcare/educationinthesecond - eachprovidesinsightaboutthesensibleuseofstatistics in assessingresearch. Data (We

Ifoneconsultswithdoctors

whenpracticingmedicine, surelyoneoughttoconsult withstatisticianswhen practicingstatistics. 18 assembling

StatisticalAnalysisandPresentation

publishes,

InterpretationandImpact

[GoldsteinͲSpiegelhalter1996,p.390] success unstudied. have 19 involvedintheassessmentofresearch.

PeterTaylor,UniversityofMelbourne

20

References

Adler,

http://bulletin.imstat.org/pdf/36/5

1Ͳ6.

Batista,

arXiv:physics/0510142v1

Batista,

researchers

LibrariesNews,Vol68,No.5,May2007

Best, http://dx.doi.org/

10.1111/j.1467-985X.2004.00333.x

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.4630370106

Carey,

6, (1989),pp.437Ͳ447. http://dx.doi.org/

10.1007/BF02017064

http://dx.doi.org/

10.1007/s11192-006-0144-7

21
alliance"withThomsonScientific.) association

CurrentComments#2,p.3,January12,1987.

______. 1998.Long-term vs. short-term journal impact (part II). The Scientist

12(14):12-3 (July 6, 1998).

______.2005.Agonyandtheecstasy - thehistoryandmeaningofthejournalimpactfactor.Presented 2005.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2983325

Vol.102,No.46,pp.16569-16573.

No.21,pp.1003Ͳ1004.

22

Vol36,No.3(1996),pp.343Ͳ362.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02129599 and

Technology,Vol58,No13,pp.2105Ͳ2125.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.20677

Scientometrics.

http://imechanica.org/files/paper.pdf Monastersky, R. 2005.Thenumberthat'sdevouringscience.ChronicleHigherEd.Vol. 52, No. 8.

No6,December17,pp.1091Ͳ1092.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1083/jcb.200711140

314:497 (15 February).

arXiv:cs/0607066v1[cs.DL] forlocatinginformation.PLoSONE3(2):e1683 23
24

Endnotes

1

Vol.1,No.2(April1934),pp.163Ͳ169.

2 3

MATHEMATICS(217)

MATHEMATICSAPPLIED(177)

MATHEMATICSINTERDISCIPLINARY(76)

PHYSICS,MATHEMATICAL(44)

PROBABILITYANDSTATISTICS(96)

4 5 equivalent. timeformathematics - articlesoftentakemanyyearstoaccumulatecitations.Ifwechooselonger comparing 25
6 distribution lookslikethefollowing: citationcountsforthese15papersis: In 7 be discarded - thatis,allcitationsfromarticlesinagivenjournalJtoarticlespublishedinJduringthe

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%

01234567891011121314>15

Percentofarticles

Citations

Scientist'sCitationRecord

(84 articles)

050100150200

0510 15 20

Numberofcitations

Papers

Top15papers

26
third ofallcitations. time commonexperience.quotesdbs_dbs12.pdfusesText_18