[PDF] Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey





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turnover rates as the drivers in those sectors are home more frequently and generally paid more. In 2018 LTL carriers had a turnover rate of 11%



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working citing persistent driver shortages and high levels of firm-level turnover



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The occupation of truck driving is often portrayed by the industry and in the popular press as beset by high levels of turnover and persistent “labor shortages.



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2018 saw high levels of driver turnover the softer freight market in 2019 has resulted in a somewhat mixed picture of the truck driver market.35 As such



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ATA Truck Driver Shortage Analysis 2019

in 2018 more people have come to the industry to drive trucks. The combination of The truck driver shortage and driver turnover rates are not the same.



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Total consumption expenditures in 2018 for all types of goods (durables just over 650



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This happened twice post-recession in 2014 and again in 2018. However





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Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey

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turnover rate for large truckload carriers is 94% up from 74% based on 2017 first quarter data (American Trucking Association



Driver turnover in the trucking industry: What's the cost

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MANAGEMENT 2018 - National Private Truck Council

• In 2018 there is a 3 54 trailer-to-tractor ratio among private fleets down from 4 2 in 2017 • Private fleets reported a 15 4 driver turnover rate this year about even with 15 2 in 2017 • The average driver age is 50 4 years old for private fleets the same as it was in 2017



Trucking Industry & Driver Update

2017 U S Trucking Employment From Truck Transported NAFTA Trade Non-Drivers Drivers 26981 20234 $0 0 $1 0 $2 0 $3 0 $4 0 $5 0 $6 0 $7 0 Canada Mexico Total 2017 U S Trucking Revenue From Truck Transported NAFTA Trade (Billions) $3 81 $2 81 The Economic Risks to Trucking: Trade Wars

What is the turnover rate of a trucking company?

They find turnover rates near 90 percent for large TL carrier companies and turnover rates ranging from 50 to 90 percent for small-sized TL carriers for the 2011 to 2016 observation period ( American Trucking Association, 2016 ).

How much does it cost to reduce driver turnover?

Annualizing this value suggest the per driver cost of reducing driver turnover is $2836.20 (in 2018 dollars) and amounts to a 6.02 percent increase in the mean wage of the group of drivers in the sample who left their employer.

What are the shortcomings of CPS data on truck-driver turnover?

Another shortcoming associated with the use of CPS data to examine truck-driver turnover is the inability to distinguish heavy and tractor trailer trucks from (light) delivery truck drivers and driver/sales workers.

Is weekly earnings a measure of driver turnover?

Use of weekly earnings is a common measure of pay used in past research to examine driver turnover ( Burks & Monaco, 2019 ). While this study also uses weekly earnings as a measure of compensation, CPS data does not distinguish hours spent driving and hour idling on the dock.

TRENDS IN TRUCKLOAD

RECRUITING AND RETENTION

Q1 2018

LANA R. BATTS

Co-President

Driver iQ

4500 S 129th E Ave, Suite 127

Tulsa, OK 74134

P: 800.848.3397

www.DriveriQ.com 2 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com Trends in Truckload Recruitment and Retention Survey

Q1 2018

About the Survey

This report is the third in a planned series of quarterly surveys designed to better understand and measure recruiting and retention experiences and expectations in the truckload sector. By taking the pulse of truckload recruiters across the nation, these surveys will ask core questions on recent trends and future expectations of applicants and recruits. Topical questions will also be incorporated depending upon current events with changes in recruiting sources, patterns, and outcomes in retention. The results of the survey will be coupled with observations of Driver iQ personnel engaged in the background screening industry.

The survey is not a valid, random

sample; rather, it reflects the

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and potential clients. It represents the views of recruitment managers who operate a total of over 75,000 trucks. The majority of the responses came from carriers over $100 million in gross operating revenues. We wish to thank all who participated in the survey and encourage their continued support. We also welcome suggestions to make the surveys more informative and relevant.

About Driver iQ

Driver iQ provides comprehensive, accurate, and reliable background screening and driver monitoring services to the trucking industry. Driver iQ maintains the LQGXVPU\·V PRVP XS-to-date driver employment database with accurate, detailed, and actionable data. Carrier customers are granted access to employment verification, driving records, criminal record searches, and ongoing driver monitoring at rates considered the lowest in the industry.

Materials contained herein cannot be republished

without the express written consent of Driver iQ. Contact: Lana Batts at LBatts@DriveriQ.com or 703-486-3100 3 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

RECENT TURNOVER

Over the last four quarters, the trend line for driver turnover has steadily risen. Fourth quarter 2017 was down slightly from third quarter, which reflects the pattern seen over the years. Typically, drivers do not want to change jobs at the end of the year for fear of losing year end benefits or be jobless over the holidays. Still turnover is nowhere near the records number of 140% in 2006. The last time turnover broke 100% was in 2014.

Source: Transport Topics

4 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

EXPECTATIONS OF FUTURE DRIVER TURNOVER

While Transport 7RSLŃV· data reflects what has already happened, Driver iQ asked recruiters what they thought would happen in the next quarter. In the fourth quarter, slightly more than 40% of the carriers expect that driver turnover would remain the same over the first quarter of 2018 compared with 25% who thought it would increase. In the first quarter of

2018, 38% of the recruiters thought that driver turnover would increase in

the second quarter. The feeling that turnover will increase is probably based upon the knowledge that the economy is healthy, February 2018 unemployment at 4.1% is below the historical average of 5.8%, and the number of new job seekers continues to decline. In essence, drivers have choices about where they will work. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 Over half the carriers between $30-$100 million believe driver turnover will increase in the second quarter, and mid-size carriers are least likely to believe it will decrease. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 5 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

CAUSES OF DRIVER TURNOVER

The overall causes of driver turnover are a healthy economy, competition among carriers, and better working conditions in other industries. But for an individual driver, the majority of recruiters believe turnover is caused by the desire to make more money as well as decrease time away from home. Unfortunately, it is hard to reconcile the need for more miles (when paid by the mile) and the desire for more home time. The bumper sticker: ´0RUH 0LOHV More Home TiPHµ Ls practically unattainable. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 6 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

EXPECTATIONS OF FUTURE APPLICATIONS

Compared with Q4 2017, 62% of the carrier executives surveyed thought that the number of applicants would increase in Q2 2018, even though the pool of drivers has not increased. This is probably because carriers are even more aggressive in their recruiting efforts ² offering higher pay, more benefits, and sign-on bonuses (which will be discussed later). But it also means they have to sift through more applicants to find the right, qualified driver. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 Over 75% of the smaller carriers believe that the number of applicants will increase, compared to only 50% of the mid-size carriers. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

EXPECTATIONS OF FUTURE COMPENSATION

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, if driver pay had kept pace with inflation since deregulation in 1980, drivers would have earned $111,000 per year in 2015. However, the American Trucking Associations found that truckload driver pay in 2016 was $53,000, up 15% compared with 2013. But, truckload driver pay is still 62% of that paid by private carriers in 2016 and well below what it should have been if it had kept pace with inflation.

Source: American Trucking Associations

8 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com HQ GULYHU L4·V VXUYH\ Uecruiters expect that salaries will continue to increase. In fact, 72% of the driver recruiters expect that compensation (pay and benefits) will increase in the second quarter of 2018 compared to their lower expectations in 2017. No one expected compensation would decrease in the Q2 2018. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 Eighty-three percent of the carriers over $100 million in operating revenues expected that future compensation would increase compared with 50% of the smaller carriers. Regardless of size, no one expected that compensation would decrease. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 9 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

COMPENSATION NEEDED TO REDUCE TURNOVER

Driver iQ asked recruiters what they thought the wage rate needed to be to impact driver turnover. Over 80% believed it should be $75,000, or 41% higher than the $53,000 reported by ATA in 2016. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 The smaller carriers were the least aggressive in believing that compensation needs to be higher than $75,000. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 10 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

CHANGES IN PAY PROGRAMS

Not only do recruiters believe that pay must be increased, companies are already raising pay. Over 60% of the respondents indicated they have increased their cents per mile, while 51% have increased performance bonuses. Given the restrictions on total miles by the new electronic log regulations, carriers will have to find performance miles in reduced time waiting at docks. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 Changes in pay programs varied greatly by size of carrier. Sixty-seven percent of the largest carriers were more likely to offer more cents per mile. Larger carriers were also more likely to offer soft bonuses, e.g., more home time, than the smaller carriers. Medium size carriers were more likely to offer performance bonuses (55%) than increasing cents per mile (23%). Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 11 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

CENTS PER MILE VERSUS TOTAL COMPENSATION

One of the frustrations motor carrier executives have in changing compensation is that drivers tend to make the decision to change jobs based upon cents per mile rather than total compensation. As a result, most recruiting ads emphasize cents per mile, and the benefits on the side of compensation, e.g., performance bonuses, often get lost. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018

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view compensation. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 12 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

DRIVERS NEEDED

ATA estimates that in 2018, the trucking industry will need 60,000 new drivers. Source: American Trucking Associations, Inc. Truck Driver Shortage Analysis 2017 According to the ATA, 47% of this shortage will be caused by drivers retiring. And yet, MŃŃRUGLQJ PR GULYHU L4·V VXUYH\ only 24% of carriers are taking any steps to deal with this impending shortage caused by retirements.

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2017

Source: Driver iQ Recruiting & Retention

Survey, Q1 2018

13 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

ENTRY LEVEL DRIVERS

Over the last six years the number of carriers hiring entry-level drivers has steadily increased from 30% in Q4 2012 to 54% in Q1 2018. Source: Transport Capital Partners, Q4 2012 ²Q4 2014 and

Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018

Larger carriers are more likely to hire entry-level drivers than smaller carriers by a 2:1 margin. This is most likely because entry-level drivers need more training and, therefore, are less productive for the first several months. Larger carriers, however, cannot rely exclusively on hiring experienced drivers given the large number of drivers they need to hire each month. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 14 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

TRAINING SCHOOLS

While the number of carriers hiring entry-level drivers has been steadily increasing, only 20% of the carriers actually operate their own entry-level training schools. Instead, they get them from public or private training schools and then finish the driver training in their own courses. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 The largest carriers operate their own in-house training schools by a factor of 3:1 over mid-sized carriers. No small carrier reporting operated their own training school. This is not surprising given the number of resources needed ² personnel and facilities ² that it takes to operate a school. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 15 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

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male. Almost 50% have been in recruiting over 10 years, but the majority (58%) have been with their current company less than 5 years and 20% have been with their current company less than one year. Source: Driver iQ Recruitment & Retention Survey, Q1 2018 16 Trends in Truckload Recruiting and Retention Survey, Q1 2018 7 © Driver iQ 800.848.3397 | www.DriveriQ.com

CONCLUSIONS

Being a recruiting and retention professional in the truckload industry has always been a tough job. But over the last several quarters, the job has become much harder ² unemployment is at an all-time low, the number of applicants seeking jobs is down, and other industries offer better working conditions. In addition, freight levels are rising and carriers are buying more new tractors (capacity) to take advantage. It is within this highly competitive environment that recruiters are (1) trying to attract new people to the industry, (2) trying to find drivers, and (3) retain drivers. In essence, it is like Spock in Star Trek playing a game of three-dimensional chess. In this survey, we discovered that carriers are trying to stem the tide of turnover ² and its associated costs ² by paying their drivers more to overcome the dissatisfiers of the job, namely the lack of home time, lack of predictability of home time, and lack of predictability of paychecks. They are also changing pay programs and adding more performance bonuses, but they still expect that turnover will increase in the second quarter of 2018.quotesdbs_dbs21.pdfusesText_27
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