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IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS
EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service
Lead author: David
Eatock
Members' Research Service
PE 637.955
- May 2019 EN Union 2019This is the second edition of this EPRS publication, intended to highlight and explain major demographic trends as they affect the
European Union.
The paper has been compiled under the lead authorship of David Eatock. The other contributors were Vasileios Margaras, Ionel Zamfir and Anita Orav. The statistics have been prepared with the assistance of Giulio Sabbati and the graphics have been produced by Samy Chahri.To contact the authors, please email:
eprs@ep.europa.euLINGUISTIC VERSIONS
Original: EN
Translations: DE, FR
Manuscript completed in
March 2019.
DISCLAIMER AND COPYRIGHT
This document is prepared for, and addressed to, the Members and staff of the European Parliament asbackground material to assist them in their parliamentary work. The content of the document is the sole
responsibility of its author(s) and any opinions expressed herein should not be taken to represent an official
position of the Parliament. Reproduction and translation for non-commercial purposes are authorised, provided the source is acknowledged and the European Parliament is given prior notice and sent a copy.Brussels © European Union, 201
9.Photo credits: © European Union, 2019
- EPRS.PE 637.955
ISBN: 978
-92-846-4922-8DOI:10.2861/061378
CAT: QA-03-19-433-EN-N
eprs@ep.europa.eu http://www.eprs.ep.parl.union.eu (intranet) http://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank (internet) http://epthinktank.eu (blog)Demographic outlook for the European Union 2019
IExecutive summary
Demography matters. The economy, labour market, healthcare, pensions, the environment, intergenerational fairness and election results they are all driven by demography. The European Union (EU) has seen its population grow substantially - by around a quarter since 1960 - and it currently stands at over 500 million people. However, the world population has grown faster, more than doubling over the same timeframe and reaching nearly 7.4 billion today. And whilst the EU population is now growing only slowly and is even expected to decline in the longer term, the worldpopulation continues to grow strongly. Indeed, it is projected to pass 10 billion in 2055. And despite
its growth being expected to slow, the world population is nonetheless forecast to be over 11 billion people in 2100. So, the EU represents an ever -shrinking proportion of the world population, at just 6.9 % today (down from 13.5 % in 1960), and is projected to fall further to just 4.1 % by the end of this century.