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IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS

EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service

Lead author: David

Eatock

Members' Research Service

PE 637.955

- May 2019 EN Union 2019
This is the second edition of this EPRS publication, intended to highlight and explain major demographic trends as they affect the

European Union.

The paper has been compiled under the lead authorship of David Eatock. The other contributors were Vasileios Margaras, Ionel Zamfir and Anita Orav. The statistics have been prepared with the assistance of Giulio Sabbati and the graphics have been produced by Samy Chahri.

To contact the authors, please email:

eprs@ep.europa.eu

LINGUISTIC VERSIONS

Original: EN

Translations: DE, FR

Manuscript completed in

March 2019.

DISCLAIMER AND COPYRIGHT

This document is prepared for, and addressed to, the Members and staff of the European Parliament as

background material to assist them in their parliamentary work. The content of the document is the sole

responsibility of its author(s) and any opinions expressed herein should not be taken to represent an official

position of the Parliament. Reproduction and translation for non-commercial purposes are authorised, provided the source is acknowledged and the European Parliament is given prior notice and sent a copy.

Brussels © European Union, 201

9.

Photo credits: © European Union, 2019

- EPRS.

PE 637.955

ISBN: 978

-92-846-4922-8

DOI:10.2861/061378

CAT: QA-03-19-433-EN-N

eprs@ep.europa.eu http://www.eprs.ep.parl.union.eu (intranet) http://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank (internet) http://epthinktank.eu (blog)

Demographic outlook for the European Union 2019

I

Executive summary

Demography matters. The economy, labour market, healthcare, pensions, the environment, intergenerational fairness and election results they are all driven by demography. The European Union (EU) has seen its population grow substantially - by around a quarter since 1960 - and it currently stands at over 500 million people. However, the world population has grown faster, more than doubling over the same timeframe and reaching nearly 7.4 billion today. And whilst the EU population is now growing only slowly and is even expected to decline in the longer term, the world

population continues to grow strongly. Indeed, it is projected to pass 10 billion in 2055. And despite

its growth being expected to slow, the world population is nonetheless forecast to be over 11 billion people in 2100. So, the EU represents an ever -shrinking proportion of the world population, at just 6.9 % today (down from 13.5 % in 1960), and is projected to fall further to just 4.1 % by the end of this century.

In common with many other deve

loped (and developing) parts of the world, the EU population is also ageing, as life expectancy increases and fertility rates drop compared to the past. At the EU level, both men and women have seen their average life expectancy increase by over 10 yearsquotesdbs_dbs7.pdfusesText_5