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Demographic Reports 2019

County of Fairfax, Virginia

Economic, Demographic and Statistical Research

Department of Management and Budget

Fairfax County Board of Supervisors

Sharon Bulova

Chairman

John C. Cook

Braddock District

John W. Foust

DranesvilleDistrict

Catherine M. Hudgins

Hunter Mill District

Jeffrey C. McKay

Lee District

Penelope A. Gross

Mason District

Daniel G. Storck

Mount Vernon District

Linda Q. Smyth

Providence District

Pat Herrity

Springfield District

Kathy L. Smith

Sully District

Bryan Hill

County Executive

Christina Jackson

Director,Department of Management and Budget

DEMOGRAPHIC REPORTS 2019©

Prepared by:

Economic, Demographic and Statistical Research

Xuemei HanFatimaKhajaMadhur Lamsal

Economic, Demographic and Statistical Research

Department of Management and Budget

12000 Government Center Parkway, Suite 561

Fairfax, Virginia 22035

Email: DMBinfo@fairfaxcounty.gov

Web Address: https://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/demographics/Publication Date: December 2019

TABLE OF CONTENTS

i Page

Foreword ........................................................................................................ v

I. MAPS

Map Notes ................................................................................................... I-1

Figure 1.1 Supervisor Districts and Towns ............................................... I-2

Figure 1.2 Planning Districts ..................................................................... I-3

Figure 1.3 Human Services Regions ........................................................ I-4

Figure 1.4 ZIP Codes ................................................................................ I-5

Figure 1.5 Sewersheds ............................................................................. I-6

Table 1.1 Fairfax County Sewershed Codes ........................................... I-7

Figure 1.6 Census Tracts ......................................................................... I-8

II. DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE

Demographic Trends Notes ....................................................................... II-1

Table 2.1 Estimates and Forecasts of

Population, Housing Units and Households,

Fairfax County, 1970 through 2045 ...................................................... II-2

Figure 2.1 Historical, Estimated and Forecast

Population, Housing Units and Households,

Fairfax County, 1970 through 2045 ...................................................... II-3

Table 2.2 Population Age Distribution

Fairfax County, 1970 through 2010 ...................................................... II-4

Table 2.3 Projected Population Age Distribution

Fairfax County, 2019 through 2035 ...................................................... II-5

Table 2.4 Population of Towns, Fairfax County,

1990 through 2019 ............................................................................... II-6

Table 2.5 Racial and Ethnic Population Distribution, Fairfax County, 2000, 2010 and 2019 .................................................. II-6

Table 2.6 Average Household Size by Race

Fairfax County, 1990, 2000 and 2010 .................................................. II-6 Table 2.7 Household and Family Income Distribution,

Fairfax County, 2018 ............................................................................ II-7

Table 2.8 Estimates of Median Household Income and

Median Family Income, Fairfax County,

1991 through 2018 ............................................................................... II-7

Table 2.9 Estimated and Forecasted Housing Units

by Type of Structure, Fairfax County, 1950 through 2045 .................... II-8

Figure 2.2 Historical and Forecast Housing Units

by Type of Structure, Fairfax County, 1970 through 2040 .................... II-9 Page

Table 2.10 Rental Housing Complexes: Total Units,

Vacancy Rate and Average Monthly Rent,

Fairfax County, 1988 through 2018 .................................................... II-10

Table 2.11 Estimated Median Market Value,

Owned Housing Units, Fairfax County, 1989 through 2019 ............... II-10 Table 2.12 2010 and 2018 Population, Median Household Income and Median Family Income by Selected Jurisdictions in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area, State of Virginia and the United States ........... II-11 Figure 2.3 Average Annual Unemployment Rate and Average Annual Total Employment, Fairfax County, 2008 through 2018 ...................... II-12

III. CURRENT POPULATION

Current Population, Housing Units and Households ................................ III-1

Table 3.1 Average Household Size and Vacancy Rate

by Planning District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................. III-2 Figure 3.1 Average Persons per Household, Fairfax County, U.S. South Region, and the U.S., 1970 through 2019 ........................ III-3 Table 3.2 Special Institutional (Group Quarters) Population, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............................................................. III-4 Figure 3.2 Population Density by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............................................................. III-5 Table 3.3 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Supervisor District, Fairfax County, January 2019 .......................... III-6 Table 3.4 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Town, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............................................. III-6 Table 3.5 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Planning District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................. III-7 Table 3.6 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Human Services Region, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............. III-8 Table 3.7 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by ZIP Code, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................................. III-9 Table 3.8 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Sewershed, Fairfax County, January 2019 .................................. III-12 Table 3.9 2019 Population, Housing Units and Households by Census Tract, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................... III-15

IV. POPULATION FORECASTS

Population Forecasts ................................................................................. IV-1

Figure 4.1 Year 2045 Forecast Population Density

by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... IV-2

Table of Contents (continued)

ii Page

Figure 4.2 2019 - 2045 Forecast Population Growth

by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... IV-3 Table 4.1 Historical, Estimated and Forecasted Population by Supervisor District, Fairfax County, January 2019 .......................... IV-4 Table 4.2 Historical, Estimated and Forecasted Population by Town, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............................................. IV-4 Table 4.3 Historical, Estimated and Forecasted Population by Planning District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................. IV-5

Table 4.4 Estimated and Forecasted Population

by Human Services Region, Fairfax County, January 2019 ................ IV-6

Table 4.5 Estimated and Forecasted Population

by ZIP Code, Fairfax County, January 2019 ........................................ IV-7

Table 4.6 Estimated and Forecasted Population

by Sewershed, Fairfax County, January 2019 ................................... IV-10

Table 4.7 Estimated and Forecasted Population by

Census Tract, Fairfax County, January 2019 .................................... IV-13

V. HOUSEHOLD FORECASTS

Household Forecasts ................................................................................. V-1

Table 5.1 Estimated and Forecasted Households by

Supervisor District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ................................ V-2 Table 5.2 Estimated and Forecasted Households by Town, Fairfax County, January 2019............................................................... V-2

Table 5.3 Estimated and Forecasted Households by

Planning District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ................................... V-3

Table 5.4 Estimated and Forecasted Households by

Human Services Region, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... V-4

Table 5.5 Estimated and Forecasted Households by

ZIP Code, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................................. V-5

Table 5.6 Estimated and Forecasted Households by

Census Tract, Fairfax County, January 2019 ....................................... V-8

VI. HOUSING UNIT INVENTORY

Housing Unit Inventory .............................................................................. VI-1

Figure 6.1 Percent Single Family Detached Housing Units by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... VI-2 Figure 6.2 Percent Single Family Attached Housing Units by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ........................... VI-3

Figure 6.3 Percent Multifamily Housing Units

by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... VI-4 Page

Figure 6.4 Median Year Built of All Housing Units

by Census Block Group, Fairfax County, January 2019 ...................... VI-5

Table 6.1 Housing Unit Inventory by Unit Type by

Supervisor District, Fairfax County, January 2019 ............................... VI-6 Table 6.2 Housing Unit Inventory by Unit Type by Town, Fairfax County, January 2019 .............................................................. VI-6

Table 6.3 Housing Unit Inventory by Unit Type by

Planning District, Fairfax County, January 2019 .................................. VI-7

Table 6.4 Housing Unit Inventory by Unit Type by

Human Services Region, Fairfax County, January 2019 ..................... VI-8

Table 6.5 Housing Unit Inventory by Unit Type

by ZIP Code, Fairfax County, January 2019 ........................................ VI-9quotesdbs_dbs7.pdfusesText_5