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ModicareSPA SECURITIESUnion Budget 2018 - 19

Modicare

PADHEGA, BADHEGA, UDEGA INDIA

(INDIA WILL LEARN, MOVE AHEAD AND FLY)Being the last budget of this Government it was considered a given that it will be a populist budget but then it's differentthis

time (only with respect to the budget) Yet again a budget strictly aligned to fiscal discipline setting long term goals this time (only with respect to the budget) Yet again a budget strictly aligned to fiscal discipline setting long term goals

to be achieved on socio economic factors addressing key bottlenecks that are holding us back and addressing them with

broader specifics with details to follow thereafter.

The budget is focused on Infrastructure, Education, Health and farm income which are the most important socio

i ft f Idi d h b f it ti Mt f th i iti ti t b i itd t econom i c f ac t ors f or I n di aan d h ave b een so f or qu it esome ti me now. M os t o f th e i n iti a ti ves canno t b ep i npo i n t e d t o

have direct benefits but as the FM rightly pointed out Swastha India is the India that can be the future developed India.

The medical insurance scheme is bound to change the way rural healthcare is dealt with in this country albeit with its

own set of challenges. The Ekalavya's will help India marchthrough with the advantages of the demographic dividend.

The focus on education and MSME's coupled with infrastructuraldevelopmentsacrosslogistics,airports,dedicated

freight corridors and roads will embark the Indian economyon a path of sustained growth that is difficult to foresee

given our past track record. But then this Government has always been great at execution and we have no reason to

believe that the machinery would deliver any differently in future as well.(toilets, crop insurance, GST, demonetization,

power)What we like most about this government approach is the way it targets root causes as has been with farm income.Value addition though food processing, Gramin agriculture markets to aid farmers get out of the archaic APMC ambitand MSP being fixed at a percentage above cost and even the lessee borrowing problem in agriculture has been touched

upon.

SPA SECURITIESUnion Budget 2018 - 19

We believe the budget is one step forward in the right direction to align the country towards its long term goal of

inclusive and hence sustainable growth. Padhega India, Badhega India.

Modicare

Economic Survey - Key HighlightsMajor reforms were undertaken over the past year. The transformational Goods and Services Tax (GST) was

l au n c h ed at t h e st r o k e of mi d ni g h t o n Ju l y 1 2 0 17 An d t h e l o n g -f este rin g

Twin B

a l a n ce S h eet TB S) p r ob l e mw as au c ed at te st o e o dgt o Ju y 0 d te og este g aa ce S eet (S) pobe as

decisively addressed by sending the major stressed companies for resolution under the new Indian Bankruptcy

Code and implementing a major recapitalization package to strengthen the public sector banks. As a result of

these measures, the dissipating effects of earlier policy actions and export uplift from the global recovery, the

economy began to accelerate in the second half of the year. One o f the aims o f demonetization and the GST was to increase the formalization o f the economy and bring more

Indians into the income tax net, which includes only about 59.3 mn individual taxpayers equivalent to 24.7% of

the estimated non-agricultural workforce. After November2016,10.1mnfilerswereaddedcomparedwithan average of 6.2 mn in the preceding six years. di h h kbl ili i dj i ih h l f G h 6 3 i In di an economy h as s h own remar k a bl eres ili ence i na dj ust i ng w i t h t h e structura l re f orms. G

DP growt

h at 6 3 i n

the second quarter signalled turnaround of the economy. Finance Minister (FM) hopes to grow at 7.2% to 7.5% in

the second half. IMF, in its latest Update, has forecast that India will grow at 7.4% next year. Manufacturing sector

is back on good growth path. The services, mainstay of our growth, have also resumed their high growth rates of

8% p lus. Ex p orts are ex p ected to g row at 15% in 2017-18. FM ex p ects to achieve hi g h g rowth o f 8% p lus. p p p g p g g p

Fiscal Deficit was 4.1%, 3.9% and 3.5% in FY15, FY16 and FY17 respectively. Fiscal Deficit estimates for 2017-18

GDP for the year in FY19.

SPA SECURITIESUnion Budget 2018 - 19

Modicare

Budget at a glance

Figures In INR Crores FY17 (A) FY 18 (BE) FY 18 (RE) Growth (YoY) FY 18 (BE) Growth (YoY)

1Revenue Recei

p ts 1374203 1515771 1505428 9.5% 1725738 14.6% p

2. Tax Revenue 1101372 1227014 1269454 15.3% 1480649 16.6%

3. Non-Tax Revenue 272831 288757 235974 -13.5% 245089 3.9%

4Capital Receipts1 600991 630964 712322 18.5% 716475 0.6%

5. Recovery of Loans 17630 11933 17473 -0.9% 12199 -30.2%6 Other Receipts

47743
72500

100000

109 5%

80000
20 0% 6 Other

Receipts

47743
72500

100000

109
5% 80000
20 0%

7. Borrowings and Other Liabilities 535618 546531 594849 11.1% 624276 4.9%

8Total Receipts (1+4) 1975194 2146735 2217750 12.3% 2442213 10.1%

9Total Expenditure (10+13) 1975194 2146735 2217750 12.3% 2442213 10.1%

10On Revenue Account of which 1690584 1836934 1944305 15.0% 2141772 10.2%

11Interest Payments 480714 523078 530843 10.4% 575795 8.5%

12Grants in Aid for creation of Capital Assets 165733 195350 189245 14.2% 195345 3.2%

13On Capital Account 284610 309801 273445 -3.9% 300441 9.9%

14Revenue Deficit (10-1) 316381 321163 438877 38.7% 416034 -5.2%

As % o

f GD P -2.1 -1.9 -2.6 -2.2 f

15Effective Revenue Deficit (14-12) 150648 125813 249632 65.7% 220689 -11.6%

As % of GDP

-1 -0.7 -1.5 -1.2

16Fiscal Deficit [9-(1+5+6)] 535618 546531 594849 11.1% 624276 4.9%

As % of GDP

-3.5 -3.2 -3.5 -3.3 17

Primary Deficit (16

11) 54904
23453
64006
16 6% 48481
24 3%

SPA SECURITIESUnion Budget 2018 - 19

17

Primary

Deficit

(16 11) 54904
23453
64006
16 6% 48481
24
3%

As % of GDP

-0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.3

Modicare

Budget Estimates 2018-19Budget 2018-19 reflects the Government's firm commitment to substantially boost investment in Agriculture,

Social

Sector

Digital

Payments

Infrastructure

and

Employment

Generation

on the one hand and

Social

Sector

Digital

Payments

Infrastructure

and

Employment

Generation

on the one hand andquotesdbs_dbs5.pdfusesText_9